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	<title>false symmetry &#187; mta</title>
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		<title>Slips, Trips and Fails (NYC MTA)</title>
		<link>http://fs.pkheavy.com/2009/09/slips-trips-and-fails-nyc-mta/</link>
		<comments>http://fs.pkheavy.com/2009/09/slips-trips-and-fails-nyc-mta/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Sep 2009 15:44:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Zachary Kurtz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rationality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bus]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[mta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nyc]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fs.pkheavy.com/?p=203</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[poorly worded MTA poster drives Zach nuts]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I snapped this picture last night on my way home last light. It&#8217;s a poster seen on an MTA- New York City Bus:</p>
<div id="attachment_204" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 432px"><a href="http://fs.pkheavy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/mtabus.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-204" title="mtabus" src="http://fs.pkheavy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/mtabus.jpg" alt="New York City, MTA Bus, poster" width="422" height="337" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">New York City, MTA Bus</p></div>
<p>The first major issue with this poster is the choice of the word &#8220;risk.&#8221;  Slips, trips and falls are potentially injuring but is the action itself risky? Walking or running out of a bus is risky because there exists the potential to trip, but once you&#8217;ve already started to trip no new risks are being taken because, presumably, you don&#8217;t choose to follow through with the trip &#8211; it just happens. The poster should have said &#8220;running is risky because you may slip, trip or fall&#8221; or maybe &#8220;slip trip or fall is dangerous.&#8221; But slipping can&#8217;t be said to be risk-taking, at least not how I understand the word.</p>
<p>I think this picture is self explanatory about why reference frames are important. The other glaring error is the quantitative element: that a slip, trip or fall is <em>twice </em>as risky. Twice as risky as what, exactly? If you&#8217;ve already tripping, the risk that you will continue to fall is fairly high &#8211; probably more than 2. So I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s what they mean.</p>
<p>Most probably, slip trips and falls cause bus-related injuries two times more frequently than some other incident &#8211; though we can only imagine what that might be.</p>
<p>Since they also qualify the statement with <em>sometimes &#8211; </em>when exactly should I be worried about slipping and tripping? What are the risks when these conditions <em>don&#8217;t </em>apply?</p>
<p>What bothers me so much about this poster is that they don&#8217;t provide reference, nor do they explain under what conditions are slip, trips and falls more likely (only that they sometimes are). Reading that poster, should I be nervous about suddenly and randomly slipping out of my seat &#8211; because, sometimes, that&#8217;s twice as likely (twice as likely as gravity reversing and I get stuck to the ceiling, maybe?)?</p>
<p>This poster basically tells me nothing because they don&#8217;t frame it around a stable reference or provide relation &#8211; I don&#8217;t know how likely I am to trip at any given moment. Realistically, I realize that the poster is only trying to make passengers aware of a common problem in bus safety, but it would have taken about an two extra seconds to realize the statement is nonsense and to fix it.</p>
<p>Now, every time I see it on the bus (thankfully not every day) I am forced stare at the poster in frustration.</p>
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